Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.073492 0.082420 0.091569 0.101616 0.112311 0.123329 0.135511
2025-05-11 0.057298 0.070464 0.084676 0.101020 0.119166 0.138573 0.160774
2025-05-18 0.048542 0.064473 0.082410 0.103780 0.128244 0.155099 0.186538
2025-05-25 0.041910 0.059674 0.080428 0.105901 0.135793 0.169284 0.209184
2025-06-01 0.034600 0.053034 0.075410 0.103690 0.137672 0.176478 0.223451
2025-06-08 0.028662 0.047336 0.070874 0.101458 0.139016 0.182637 0.236181
2025-06-15 0.025750 0.045201 0.070463 0.103995 0.145844 0.195058 0.256074
2025-06-22 0.022794 0.042647 0.069231 0.105270 0.150959 0.205326 0.273365
2025-06-29 0.021271 0.041925 0.070269 0.109329 0.159441 0.219601 0.295416
2025-07-06 0.018813 0.039554 0.068876 0.110072 0.163660 0.228644 0.311184
2025-07-13 0.018988 0.041178 0.072990 0.118085 0.177114 0.249021 0.340673
2025-07-20 0.016229 0.037911 0.070036 0.116517 0.178228 0.254168 0.351717
2025-07-27 0.014890 0.036932 0.070448 0.119706 0.185804 0.267755 0.373625
2025-08-03 0.012613 0.034119 0.068034 0.118957 0.188266 0.275056 0.388014
2025-08-10 0.011502 0.033213 0.068380 0.121987 0.195680 0.288589 0.410127
2025-08-17 0.010359 0.032088 0.068284 0.124324 0.202132 0.300899 0.430749
2025-08-24 0.008404 0.029068 0.064988 0.121883 0.202023 0.304738 0.440737
2025-08-31 0.006723 0.026267 0.061807 0.119418 0.201733 0.308238 0.450223
2025-09-07 0.006108 0.025680 0.062217 0.122220 0.208632 0.321016 0.471397
2025-09-14 0.005346 0.024615 0.061733 0.123627 0.213578 0.331257 0.489388
2025-09-21 0.005086 0.024729 0.063271 0.128103 0.222810 0.347123 0.514562
2025-09-28 0.004372 0.023548 0.062454 0.128921 0.226901 0.356255 0.531200
2025-10-05 0.004701 0.025214 0.066776 0.137739 0.242306 0.380326 0.566960